After Saturday's radio show, Saint Paul and I were discussing the prospects for the aught-eight race. With the usual caveat that it's still early, we both have reluctantly concluded that given the most recent developments in the campaign--McCain kicking the final leg out from under the Republican base with his full-fledged support for the immigration bill and Giuliani seemingly unable to talk his way out of the moral issues box--and barring a late entry from Fred Thompson or Newt Gingrich (be still our hearts) or an unforeseen meltdown, it's all but certain that Mitt Romney will win the GOP nomination.
It's also all but certain that regardless of the Democrat facing him, he will suffer a staggering general election defeat to rival the thrashing that Goldwater received in '64.
SP ADDS: This recent speech by Guiliani, in front of the NY GOP, is an absolute knock-out. On economics, national defense, and ability to call out his ideological opponents for their faults, he's a Republican dream candidate. If only those pesky moral issues weren't hanging around his neck. Should these be a deal breaker for Republicans voting for him in a primary? Only if you think morality and our national soul mean anything. And BTW, it's not that he's a sinner and has advocated immorality in the past that's the problem. It's the fact that he appears to be so comfortable with his choices and entirely unrepentent.
SP RETRACTS: That link isn't for the right speech! You'll have to trust me on the genius of his remakrs until I can find the video evidence.
No comments:
Post a Comment