Sunday, September 30, 2007

The Real Wealth Of Nations

Why are some countries rich and others poor? In the past we've heard a litany of rationalizations for the divide such as natural resources, advantageous geography, legacy of colonialism, etc. In yesterday's Wall Street Journal, Ronald Bailey notes a new report from the World Bank that shows the real keys are the laws and institutions that allow for the creation of intangible wealth (sub req):

Two years ago the World Bank's environmental economics department set out to assess the relative contributions of various kinds of capital to economic development. Its study, "Where is the Wealth of Nations?: Measuring Capital for the 21st Century," began by defining natural capital as the sum of nonrenewable resources (including oil, natural gas, coal and mineral resources), cropland, pasture land, forested areas and protected areas. Produced, or built, capital is what many of us think of when we think of capital: the sum of machinery, equipment, and structures (including infrastructure) and urban land.

But once the value of all these are added up, the economists found something big was still missing: the vast majority of world's wealth! If one simply adds up the current value of a country's natural resources and produced, or built, capital, there's no way that can account for that country's level of income.

The rest is the result of "intangible" factors -- such as the trust among people in a society, an efficient judicial system, clear property rights and effective government. All this intangible capital also boosts the productivity of labor and results in higher total wealth. In fact, the World Bank finds, "Human capital and the value of institutions (as measured by rule of law) constitute the largest share of wealth in virtually all countries."


For more on the absolute importance of property rights in development, read Hernando De Soto's  The Mystery of Capital: Why Capitalism Triumphs in the West and Fails Everywhere Else.

Once one takes into account all of the world's natural resources and produced capital, 80% of the wealth of rich countries and 60% of the wealth of poor countries is of this intangible type. The bottom line: "Rich countries are largely rich because of the skills of their populations and the quality of the institutions supporting economic activity."

Some of the richest countries in the world have little "natural" wealth to speak while some of the poorest are flush with it. This raises questions about the best ways to help poor countries cross the divide. Without the foundations of stable and efficient institutions and the rule of law, no amount of external aid is going to lead to long-term improvements.

The World Bank study bolsters the deep insights of the late development economist Peter Bauer. In his brilliant 1972 book "Dissent on Development," Bauer wrote: "If all conditions for development other than capital are present, capital will soon be generated locally or will be available . . . from abroad. . . . If, however, the conditions for development are not present, then aid . . . will be necessarily unproductive and therefore ineffective. Thus, if the mainsprings of development are present, material progress will occur even without foreign aid. If they are absent, it will not occur even with aid."

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