Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Playing The Percentages

Ross Douthat is not impressed with the 95/10 plan:

You can read up on the 95/10 plan here, on the website of Democrats for Life. They describe it as "a comprehensive package of federal legislation and policy proposals that will reduce the number of abortions by 95% in the next 10 years." I would describe it as a grab-bag of modest proposals, some of them creditable, that might reduce the abortion rate by 10 percent over 95 years.

Or with the chances of Obama supporting it:

And while I would be delighted to see Obama endorse the plan, since it's always nice to have pro-choice politicians on the record suggesting that abortion is a bad thing and we ought to have less of it, I have a tough time seeing it happening. Unlike Hillary Clinton, whose gender and record and reputation offers her enough maneuvering room to occasionally play the "safe, legal and never" card, I suspect that Obama simply doesn't have enough feminist cred to even tiptoe off the liberal reservation on abortion. But I'd be happy to be proven wrong.

The problem for Democrats with abortion is that a sizable chunk of the hardcore party faithful not only believe that abortion should be legal, but that there isn't anything wrong with it. If a group of pro-life Republicans proposed a "comprehensive package of federal legislation and policy proposals that will reduce the number of abortions by 95% in the next 10 years," the feminist wing of the Democratic Party would be screaming bloody murder about how it was infringing on the "reproductive rights" on women.

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