Wednesday, September 15, 2004

Lies, Damn Lies, and The Strib Poll

Most of the recent polling done by reputable sources show the race in Minnesota to be neck and neck between Bush and Kerry. Today, the Minneapolis Strar Tribune unveils a new poll which claims that, while Bush has closed the gap, Kerry still leads by nine points:

On the eve of President Bush's bus tour across Minnesota, a new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll shows him potentially gaining ground on challenger John Kerry in what has long been a reliably Democratic state in presidential elections.

The poll, conducted Sept. 7-13, found that Kerry has the support of 50 percent of likely voters in Minnesota, while Bush has the support of 41 percent.


Just last week we noted that the Minnesota GOP was calling for the ouster of the Strib's pollster after years of inaccuracy. Our colleagues at Power Line demonstrated the flawed methodology in the Strib's sampling nearly two years ago. And when noted commentator Michael Barone appeared on Hugh Hewitt's radio show at the RNC, he sited the Star Tribune and the LA Times as having the most notoriously poor polls in the nation.

So take the results that you see in today's Strib with a boulder of salt. They are likely not a reliable indicator of the reality on the ground.

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